This 'AOC 2024' Thing Is Actually Real As Progressives Give Up On Biden Chance

Written By BlabberBuzz | Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:17 PM
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This 'AOC 2024' Thing Is Actually Real As Progressives Give Up On Biden Chance

Election analysts state that Democrats are projected to expand their majority in the U.S. House due to an erosion of President Trump's support in suburban communities and a fundraising advantage that has allowed Democrats to go on offense in traditionally red districts, election analysts say.

Democrats won back the House in 2018 by flipping suburbs outside major metropolitan cities, including Los Angeles, New York, Philadelphia, Denver and Washington, D.C.

But two years later, Democrats are not only poised to keep most of their gains, they are also marching deeper into red territory in areas outside Cincinnati, St. Louis, Omaha, Phoenix, San Antonio and Indianapolis, said David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report. "Trump is increasingly radioactive in suburbs that are traditionally conservative," Wasserman, U.S. House editor for the nonpartisan election analyzing outlet, told Fox News.

The Cook Political Report projects Democrats will have a net gain of anywhere between five and 15 seats after Tuesday's election. Inside Elections projects an even better pickup for Democrats of 14 to 20 seats. And FiveThirtyEight says Democrats have a 98 in 100 chance of retaining their House majority.

The political handicappers' outlook for Democratic control of the House is stronger than their projections for Democrats winning the White House and Senate.

Optimistic Democrats are planning to remain in power under a Biden administration. "All around the country you see this enthusiasm," House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said on MSNBC Friday. "We feel very confident. I know that we will win the House and increase our numbers."

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However, Republicans are betting that if Trump surprises America with another poll-defying election win, he's due to pull Republicans in the House across the finish line with him.

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"Nobody gave us a shot. They haven't given us a shot since the beginning," Rep. Tom Emmer, chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee, said of election analysts.

Emmer finds hope in GOP Navy veteran Mike Garcia, winning California's 25th district special election in May to replace Democratic Rep. Katie Hill. "If President Trump can perform at or above his 2016 numbers, we have a path back to the majority," Emmer told Fox News. "This thing is going to continue to tighten."

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Republicans are trying to win back suburban seats by portraying the moderate freshman Democrats as falling in line with Pelosi and her liberal left, and ignoring their campaign pledges of bipartisanship.

New for this cycle is that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., of the so-called freshman "Squad," have gotten starring roles in some GOP attack ads warning: "Stop the Radical Left."

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"Congresswoman Ocasio-Cortez and Congresswoman Omar have really taken center stage in terms of who the Republican Boogeymen or Boogeywomen are this cycle," said Jacob Rubashkin, a reporter/analyst for Inside Elections, a nonpartisan newsletter in Washington, D.C.

If the blue wave materializes and more Democrats are elected at the state level, too, then Democrats would be in power when the new congressional districts are drawn -- a key advantage that may give them an edge for the next 10 years.

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